In light of the ignorant bellicosity that he's once again trumpeted in the face of the Georgia crisis (see here), I'd posit the following, if he becomes president:
--Over/under for the likely average number of wars we'll be engaged in at any given time during his presidency: 2.5.
--Likelihood of his using nuclear weapons: .3.
On the former, note that we're at 2 wars already (which he is reluctant to reduce to 1) and that he appears to want to fight Russia, China, Iran, and presumably Syria and North Korea.
On the latter, note that Cheney, his only Bush Administration near-twin for bellicosity (!!), reportedly pushed internally for the use of nuclear weapons against Iran. I wonder if the probability I offer is way too low.
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But the most interesting odds are that, despite (or perhaps because of) all this, InTrade still has him at nearly 40 percent to be elected.
Inside bets in roulette are of huge risks, lowest odds and maximum payout. You may choose from five inside bets, while playing roulette. In roulette betting, each bet has its own payout and odds. Types of inside bets in roulette betting are the street, the straight, the line, the split and the corner bets.Street bet allows you to place bets on 3 distinct numbers at once. This bet pays 11 to 1, having odds of 3 in 37 chances in the European roulette. The odds are 3 in 38 in the American roulette.The straight bet has the maximum payout with 35 to 1. This bet also consists of pity odds with 1 in 38 odds in American roulette and 1 in 37 in the European roulette.
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Ashleejames
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